Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.003940 0.004145 0.004355 0.004588 0.004837 0.005098 0.005390
2025-06-29 0.003583 0.003887 0.004212 0.004588 0.005011 0.005474 0.006022
2025-07-06 0.003264 0.003610 0.003991 0.004443 0.004968 0.005562 0.006292
2025-07-13 0.003103 0.003488 0.003921 0.004447 0.005074 0.005806 0.006732
2025-07-20 0.003009 0.003430 0.003913 0.004514 0.005248 0.006126 0.007272
2025-07-27 0.002871 0.003311 0.003823 0.004471 0.005279 0.006267 0.007591
2025-08-03 0.002757 0.003212 0.003749 0.004440 0.005318 0.006414 0.007917
2025-08-10 0.002653 0.003119 0.003677 0.004405 0.005346 0.006543 0.008221
2025-08-17 0.002611 0.003100 0.003692 0.004478 0.005512 0.006854 0.008783
2025-08-24 0.002533 0.003030 0.003641 0.004462 0.005557 0.007006 0.009131
2025-08-31 0.002455 0.002958 0.003583 0.004431 0.005581 0.007125 0.009437
2025-09-07 0.002371 0.002875 0.003506 0.004373 0.005563 0.007185 0.009655
2025-09-14 0.002290 0.002794 0.003431 0.004315 0.005542 0.007241 0.009876
2025-09-21 0.002238 0.002750 0.003402 0.004318 0.005606 0.007419 0.010289
2025-09-28 0.002137 0.002636 0.003277 0.004184 0.005472 0.007303 0.010240
2025-10-05 0.002094 0.002599 0.003253 0.004188 0.005532 0.007473 0.010647
2025-10-12 0.002075 0.002593 0.003271 0.004249 0.005678 0.007775 0.011281
2025-10-19 0.002021 0.002538 0.003218 0.004210 0.005672 0.007847 0.011544
2025-10-26 0.001974 0.002490 0.003175 0.004182 0.005681 0.007941 0.011847
2025-11-02 0.001927 0.002442 0.003130 0.004149 0.005683 0.008021 0.012130
2025-11-09 0.001917 0.002444 0.003154 0.004216 0.005837 0.008350 0.012863
2025-11-16 0.001880 0.002407 0.003122 0.004201 0.005863 0.008474 0.013241
2025-11-23 0.001840 0.002366 0.003083 0.004173 0.005868 0.008560 0.013557